Sunday, November 21, 2010

That's just a baaaad idea.

A disturbing thing has been discovered recently, though it should come at no surprise considering we're talking about North Korea. Turns out, the country most heavily under the effect of small-nation syndrome have been working on a sophisticated uranium enrichment plant in an attempt to go nuclear. The discovery has been described as "stunning" and an "act of defiance." The plant was first witnessed by U.S. scientist Siegfried Hecker, a former director of the Los Alamos Nuclear Laboratory. U.S. officials have long suspected North Korea of having such capability, and have regularly raised it with them directly and with global partners. According to them, it validates a long standing concern they've have with respect to North Korea. As a follow-up, they state that clearly North Korea and its dictator feel free to destabilize the region.

According to Hecker's report, released Saturday in the New York Times, North Korea recently completed 2,000 centrifuges needed for making uranium required in a nuclear reactor. Hecker also said that the North told him it was producing low-enriched uranium. However, he was not allowed to take photos or reveal the plant's location, however the U.S. reportedly has been watching the area he visited by satellite. The plant has not been reported as producing plutonium needed for a bomb but the uranium used in an energy reactor could easily be converted, especially in the facility which has been described as "astonishingly modern." The senior administration official said if the details were true, then North Korea is in violation of its pledges and commitments. Too assume that the U.S. didn't know about these things earlier is somehwat stupid though. It is North Korea after all. And with luck, maybe they'll blow themselves off the face of the earth.

Saturday, November 13, 2010

Who doesn't love a fixer upper.

Following the Republicans hearty trouncing of Democrats in the congressional, gubernatorial, and state races, many political experts weighed in on what Obama's first order of business should be. Some decided that he should scale back his heavily liberal agenda and attempt to appeal to the middle-ground independent voters, and to bring in some new staff for some fresh and untainted blood. For others, they believed that the answer was much simpler. He needs to appeal to his own party again. He's fallen out of favor with the people that got him to where he is now and it's showing negatively.He has almost completely ignored his original voter base for the last two years and has some serious damage to heal. Even if he some how manages to command the indpendent voters, he will have absolutely no chance of victory in 2012 if he doesn't hae a vast number of Democrats behind him. Because let's be honest, a great deal of the country is pissed off at him.

For starters, he completely shut down his high-end donors. Following their extremely generous donations, they were looking at Obama and his administration give them the perks that have become expected for wealthy donors. And Obama basically told them not to hold their breath, because he didn't give a damn. Sure, that's great for public image when people are struggling in a tough economy to know that they aren't being passed over for the wealthy. Unfortunately for Obama, when elections come by again and he needs donations to pay for the voter initiative materials, guess who doesn't want to pay? That's right. Even Obama's attempt to use religious influence failed miserably, as his Catholic voter base decided to bail out for the Republicans. That really sucks. Time to pay attention I guess? Yeah.

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Love him or hate him.

Say what you want about former President George W. Bush, but the guy has a certain aura about him that denotes him as a man's man. Whether people agree with him or not, they all know where they stand with him. Recently, he has become a prime example of how to turn the other cheek and act stay clear of with humility. But in order for one to truly turn the other cheek as a legitmate option, they must also be able to do otherwise. Take, for instance, something like, say... Canada. They like to say that they foreign affairs and wars overseas because they "turn the other cheek," as if they know better. Nuh unh. They're not turning the other cheek. They're pulling a Sweden circa World War II. They don't have the military might to choose any other option outside of remaining uninvolved. Now as stupid as this sounds, a prime example of true power is the continued existence of Canada. yeah.

The fact that Canada exists isn't an example of their power. Quite the opposite. The fact that they exist demonstrates the power of the United States. Hear me out. The United States would heavily benefit from conquering a region so rich in natural resources. But we don't. Instead, the U.S. decides to make relationships beneficial to both countries. That's real power. Obama repeatedly points to G.W. Bush as if he is everything that is wrong with the world. Instead of coming out and pointing out all of Obama's shortcomings, Mr. Bush instead decides to remain silent. That's a show of true power. What a stud.

Sunday, October 31, 2010

Statistically speaking.

The economy has lost 400,000 jobs since last May, and unemployment has remained at least at 9.5 percent for over a year, a record length not seen since the Great Depression. The real estate market is still bunk, the dollar is tanking, and in the last two years, the Obama administration has overseen unprecedented deficits, acquiring $2.7 trillion during their last two years. However, rising stock prices reflect optimism in investors. Stock prices are determined by long-term expectations of profitability than short-run results. Experts are guessing that these changes are a reflection of the changing political outlook. Stockholders were reluctant in the atmosphere created by Obama's higher taxes and health care regulations and the ability to adopt basically whatever economic policy they choose. With Republican victories likely, predictions are for a more favorable business environment and a better economy.

Some hard statistics are able to back up these assumptions. The probability of a Republican majority in Congress is provided daily by Intrade, which is basically a market that has proven to be remarkably accurate in predicting past election outcomes. Intrade along with the Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll, which reports on the approval percentages of Mr. Obama, show that the ups and downs of the stock market coincide well with these measures. For instance, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit bottom on March 5, 2009, when Obama had been in office for just two months. Conversely, this year the stock market reached a peak of 11,205 when anti-Democratic sentiment was reaching its highest. Could be a good couple of years should the Republicans take over.

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Whatever works.

The British government announced this past week the steepest set of spending cuts in decades. They intend to cut departments budgets by close to twenty percent and eliminate five-hundred thousand jobs in the public sector, all in the hopes of healing the country's deficit problems. Many in London are highly critical of the move, but some analysts in the United States have begun to question whether or not it might be a good idea to do the same. The move would surely create outrage in the U.S., but it would appear that drastic actions might be needed to save the economy rather than the slow and steady strategy being used by Obama's administration. One thing to note, however, is the fact that Britain's economy is one-fifth the size of America's, meaning that the budget cuts that needing to be proposed on Capitol Hill would dwarf those implemented in Britain. The director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom at the conservative Heritage Foundation, Nile Gardiner says that "the Obama administration is showing no appetite whatsoever" in doing what the British are doing.

Experts have been noting that should Republicans regain Congressional dominance, they may be inspired by what the British are doing. The British cuts at this point look to about $130 billion from the budget by 2015. If the United States were to cut a similar percentage, the cuts would total about $450 billion. However, Gardiner estimated that in order for the cuts to be successful, they would need to total $650 million by 2015. Insane? Of course. But it just might be insane enough to work. Clearly the slow and steady route isn't working, so just cut the infected limb off all together. Problem solved. Actually, that sounded pretty stupid... And of course this will have about .0000001% chance of passing based on the majority of people working in the public sector.

SF Giants. 2010 National League Champs. World Series bound.

Sunday, October 17, 2010

The iffy exit plan.

The war in Afghanistan entered a new and possibly decisive stage a week ago, following requests by American leaders for Afghanistan's elected officials to come to a settlement with Taliban leaders to end the war. The Americans had even assisted Taliban leaders in making it to meetings. Coupled with increased and heavier attacks by American and NATO forces, it is believed that American leaders are attempting to force the Taliban into an agreement by putting them in a diminished position. Leaders are skeptical that the settlements will be agreed upon by all Taliban leaders, or if the officials are just going to end up making deals with individual commanders. However, it's possible that these efforts might just fail and the American troops with just have to withdraw again next year with fewer prospects for a successful end.

Neither of the last two commander's in Afghanistan, Generals McChrystal and Petraeus, made the point of saying that the objective was to destroy the Taliban. Rather, they pointed out that it was an attempt to break their will, to break up their movements, and to settle with as many leaders as were willing to deal. That particular strategy appears similar to the one that brought Petraeus great success in Iraq. After American leaders negotiated with insurgent leaders in Iraq in 2007, the violence dropped dramatically. It may be that they hope to accomplish the same here. However, the number of ordinance being sent at the insurgents has increased by half of the original amount since negotiations were announced. Seeing as how one can expect some Taliban leaders to go back on their agreements and for their soldiers to defect, sounds like blowing them all to smithereens if they don't accept peace is a decent plan.

Saturday, October 9, 2010

Problems aplenty.

For the upcoming elections, it would appear that one piece of news is all the rage: the splintering of the Republican Party into the moderates and the Tea Party. There's a lot of talk about tensions between the establishment and their new trouble-maker of a child. But then again, it can't really be all that bad. They could be the Democrats. Tensions between President Obama and his own party have become apparent. In a recent interview with the Rolling Stone, President Obama took aim at those in his party that he sees as abandoning ship: "It is inexcusable for any Democrat or progeressive right now to stand on the sidelines in this midterm election... People need to shake off this lethargy, people need to buck up... If people now want to take their ball and go home, that tells me folks weren't serious [about change] in the first place." So basically, in short, the President decided that instead of being the repsonsible leader and trying to pull his party back in, he was going to start a little high-schoolesque drama.

Mr. Obama must not have gone to school as a child (relax, I'm not making any accusations toward his place of birth and education thereof), because if children learn anything growing up, it's that if you want someone to be friends with you, you're better off not trashing them. He went with the old sports coach technique, if you're not willing to play the game, go home. Unfortunately for him, not everybody enjoys athletic competition. The response from his own party has been pretty ferocious, making it seem like their President has let them down. One fellow leftist even went so far as to say it's a tactic to shift the blame should the election not go their way (There was also something about "hippie-punching," but that one's over my head). It's fairly clear that the Democratic party isn't in a much better position than the Republicans, as thirty-nine, yes, thirty-nine, Democrats voted with the Republicans against the decision to adjourn in the House. Coach Obama, you've got some issues you might want to look after.

Just a little flavor of the elections around the nation.